Day Trading Newsletter 01-25-06
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Newsletter Archive - January 2006 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - January 25, 2006
Stock Market Wrap Up

Indices
Dow + 23.45  I   Nasdaq + 16.78  I  S&P 500 + 3.04 

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

Follow-through bargain hunting after Friday's excessive decline, exacerbated late in the day by further deterioration in crude futures, helped investors grapple with a mixed batch of earnings reports. Eight out of ten economic sectors closed higher as above-average volume provided some reassurance behind the session's broad-based moved to the upside.

Of the five Dow components that posted quarterly results Tuesday, DuPont (DD 39.26 -0.29) was the only one to report better than expected earnings. However, copper prices hitting record highs helped Phelps Dodge (PD 148.91 +5.56) -- a suggested holding in Briefing.com's portfolio for active investors -- lead Materials to the session's best performance, offsetting DuPont's ensuing downside FY06 guidance.

McDonald's (MCD 35.85 +0.14), another suggested holding, merely matched analysts' forecasts, but investors took into account that MCD raised guidance a week ago, sending shares to an intraday 52-week high and helping Consumer Discretionary turn in the day's second best performance. Strength in retail, after Target (TGT 54.25 +1.50) implied Jan. comps will hit the high end of guidance, as well as media, amid reports that Disney (DIS 25.99 +0.47), another holding, is very close to a deal to buy Pixar (PIXR 57.57 -0.70), provided additional sources of sector support.

Industrials were also in focus following in-line reports from 3M Co. (MMM 74.20 -1.50) and United Technologies (UTX 56.45 +1.98), but 3M's uninspiring outlook was no match for an revenue growth across all of UTX's divisions. Strength in railroads, following strong Q4 earnings from Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI 74.80 +3.17), a suggested holding, and aerospace, following Northrop Grumman's (NOC 62.08 +1.32) solid Q4 report.

Financial also provided some upside leadership, following upbeat analyst remarks regarding American Express' (AXP 52.82 +1.38) Q4 report (Monday) while Consumer Staples benefited from analyst upgrades on Wal-Mart (WMT 45.72 +0.47) and Coca-Cola (KO 40.90 +0.40). Even though Texas Instruments (TXN 30.69 -1.01) missed overly optimistic revenue forecasts, strength in semiconductor coupled with gains in storage and hardware, following strong Q4 earnings from EMC Corp (EMC 13.65 +0.39) and Lexmark (LXK 51.08 +5.18), respectively, helped Technology close higher.

Health Care, however, nearly erased what little gains the sector has made in 2006, as Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 59.36 -1.83) hit a 52-week low following lighter than expected Q4 sales and downside Q1 guidance. Energy also lost ground, failing to recover from a late-day sell-off in crude oil (-1.5%) which removed leadership from this year's best performing sector but in turn sidelined a key inflation concern for 2006, given the commodity's effect on the duration of Fed policy tightening.


Trade system guidelines (edited):
Only available to Newsletter Subscribers.

Today's Picks - January 25, 2006


1.   BTU - PEABODY ENERGY

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open not enter the trade unless it trades above 93.12

2.   SBAC - SBA COMMUNICATIONS

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open not enter the trade unless it trades above 20.03

3.   GGB - GERDAU S A SPONSORED ADR

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open not enter the trade unless it trades above 19.46

4.   ROH - ROHM & HAAS

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open not enter the trade unless it trades above 50.46

5.   HIG - HARTFORD FINL SVCS

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 84.57

Previous Trades


PKD - PARKER DRILLING

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

THE - TODCO

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-24-06 Long 47.18 48.73 Below 45.51 up to + 2 cents per share (47.20)


* 01-24-06 - stock gapped down

CRK - COMSTOCK

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-24-06 Long 33.56 Reached
(33.80)
Below 33.56 up to + 69 cents per share (34.25)



UNH - UNITEDHEALTH GROUP

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* did not setup

HAL - HALLIBURTON

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-23-06 01-24-06 Long 75.56 Reached
(76.55)
Closed Below 75.56 up to + $1.79 per share (77.35)



==============================
EOD = End of day.
LOD = Low of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.

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