Day Trading Newsletter 01-26-06
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Newsletter Archive - January 2006 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - January 26, 2006
Stock Market Wrap Up

Indices
Dow - 2.48  I   Nasdaq - 4.60  I  S&P 500 - 2.18 

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

Lackluster trading left Wednesday's market vacillating within proximity of the flat line for most of the session. A market-dragging drop in the Energy sector, coupled with a sharp decline in December home sales, squelched the early bullish bias and closed the indices with modest losses.

Although crude futures recovered much of their day-long decline, their pullback gave energy traders incentive to take some profits. An unexpected drawdown in crude supply was a bearish factor for the broader market, and the fact that gasoline and distillates inventories rose much better than expected exacerbated selling across the Energy sector (-2.0%). Further reports of solid earnings from energy companies, which Wednesday included Amerada Hess (AMH 60.56 +0.42) and ConcocPhillips (COP 63.29 -1.19) were offset, but nonetheless underpin our Overweight rating on Energy. Following disappointing fourth quarter results from Exelon (EXC 57.83 -1.03), the Utilities sector (-1.5%) also levied a weighty loss.

Plagued by a plunge in the homebuilding industry, Consumer Discretionary (-0.5%) similarly suffered selling. This morning, the economic calendar featured data that reflected a 5.7% decline in December existing home sales. While Ryland (RYL 70.40 -4.77) and Centex (CTX 70.80 -2.49) both reported strong quarterly earnings, each posted dismal new order numbers that further corroborated a slowdown in the housing market in the face of rising interest rates.

Behind the early buying action was some news on the M&A front. Confirmation that Disney (DIS 25.45 -0.54) will acquire Pixar (PIXR) for $7.4 billion underscored the idea that cash flow remains strong at many companies and will fuel the strong merger trend throughout the year; at the same time, DIS shares declined and weighed upon the Discretionary sector. As a side note, DIS is a stock that we continue to favor and is a member of our suggested portfolio for active investors. The two-month bidding war for Guidant (GDT 75.29 -1.49) ended with Boston Scientific's (BSX 23.55 -0.45) victory, but the news sent those individual stocks, as well as the trumped Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 58.55 -0.81), lower. Conversely, Abbott Labs (ABT 42.25 +2.19), which will acquire some of Guidant's assets as part of the deal, helped limit the Health Care sector's (-0.1%) slide. Abbott also delivered strong earnings results Wednesday, as did HMO WellPoint (WLP 72.85 -0.34).

Leadership was unspirited, and rested almost entirely within the Telecom (+1.6%) and Materials (+0.6%) sectors. Surging Allegheny Technology (ATI 46.93 +2.41) shares, due to its profit report, and Morgan Stanley's increase in 2006-2007 price assumptions on copper, aluminum, zinc, and gold boosted the former. Solid earnings from Bell South (BLS 27.40 +0.48) drove the latter.

Vacillating Technology (+0.1%) and Financial (+0.2%) sectors were in part responsible for the indices' dips in and out of the red. Uneasiness ahead of Qualcomm's (QCOM 46.77 -1.30) report and an earnings-induced drop in Computer Associates (CA 27.74 -1.14) joined extended declines in TXN and AAPL in challenging Tech. The Financial sector, meanwhile, faced a submerged Treasury market and relative weakness across the insurance board. However, both of the market's two most influential sectors managed to regain positive - albeit modestly positive - footing before the bell, at which point the major averages erased much of their late day losses.


Trade system guidelines (edited):
Only available to Newsletter Subscribers.

Today's Picks - January 26, 2006


1.   ENG - ENGLOBAL CORP

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-26-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open not enter the trade unless it trades above 12.79

2.   VSEA - VARIAN SEMICONDUCTOR

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-26-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open not enter the trade unless it trades above 52.20

3.   QLGC - QLOGIC CORP

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-26-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open not enter the trade unless it trades above 39.40

4.   UAG - UNITED AUTO GROUP

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-26-06 Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 37.90

Previous Trades


BTU - PEABODY ENERGY

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 01-25-06 Long 93.96 94.54 Closed Below 93.26 up to - 76 cents per share



SBAC - SBA COMMUNICATIONS

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

GGB - GERDAU S A SPONSORED ADR

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 Long 19.82 Reached
(19.92)
Below 19.82 up to + 57 cents per share (20.39)



ROH - ROHM & HAAS

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-25-06 Long 50.71 51.15 Below 50.15 up to + 11 cents per share (50.82)



HIG - HARTFORD FINL SVCS

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* did not setup

THE - TODCO

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-24-06 01-25-06 Long 47.18 48.73 Closed Below 45.51 up to - $1.73 per share


* 01-24-06 - stock gapped down

CRK - COMSTOCK

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
01-24-06 01-25-06 Long 33.56 Reached
(33.80)
Closed Below 33.56 up to + 69 cents per share (34.25)



==============================
EOD = End of day.
LOD = Low of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.

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