Stock Trading Newsletter 06-21-07
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Newsletter Archive - June 2007 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - June 21, 2007
Stock Market Wrap Up


Dow - 146.00    I  Nasdaq - 26.80    I  S&P 500 - 20.86    

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

The stock market struggled Wednesday, but not the entire day as a blowout earnings report from Morgan Stanley (MS 87.32, -0.48), word from Home Depot (HD 40.03, +1.76) that it is increasing its stock buyback authorization by a massive $22.5 billion, and a drop in oil prices all helped to keep selling efforts in check during the morning session.

The bulls, however, never quite stepped up to the plate with any conviction; and the afternoon trade played out in a decidedly bearish fashion when bids all but disappeared around 1:00 ET.

A backup in the 10-year note yield from 5.09% to 5.14% will garner much of the blame for the reversal of fortune, but that is a dubious excuse when taking into account that the drop in yield last week from 5.32% to 5.17% was viewed as a rallying point.

So, with the yield still below its best level from last week, it doesn't make a great deal of sense that the bump to 5.14% would cause such a negative reaction Wednesday.

What did then, you ask? There isn't a definitive answer, but a plausible explanation relates to reports that Bear Stearns may be shutting two mortgage hedge funds due to losses suffered in the wake of the subprime fallout.

A whiff of this possibility sparked spillover concerns that hit the broader market in a sell-first-ask-questions-later move that manifested itself in vivid form in the financial sector (-1.7%) which sold off in the afternoon trade. Incidentally, the financial sector began to weaken noticeably around 1:00 ET and closed at its lows for the session.

The fact that selling accelerated in the final hour when bond yields held fairly steady validated the idea that something other than the backup in yield got the better of Wednesday's participants.

Overall, there just wasn't any sector leadership to save the market. All ten economic sectors ended lower with energy (-2.9%) leading the way.

The latter sector got clobbered after a weekly inventory report from the government showed a much larger than expected 6.90 million barrel build in crude stockpiles versus expectations for a slight draw of 50K barrels. July crude futures dropped $0.91 to $68.19 per barrel, which was a boon for the airline stocks Wednesday.


Trade system guidelines (edited)
Only available to Newsletter Subscribers.

Today's Picks - June 21, 2007


1.   GM - General Motors

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-21-07 Long Above 15min high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 35.59

2.   GES - Guess Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-21-07 Long Above 15min high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 47.34

3.   MTRX - Matrix Service

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-21-07 Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 23.44

4.   SGP - Schering-Plough Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-21-07 Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 29.73

Previous Trades


ANAD - Anadigics Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15min high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

WPI - Watson Pharmaceuticals

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-20-07 Long 32.47 32.65 Below 32.15 up to + 13 cents per share (32.60)



RIO - Companhia Vale do Rio Doce

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-20-07 06-20-07 Short 45.72 Reached (45.22) Closed Above 45.72 up to + 59 cents per share (45.13)


* 06-20-07 - stock gapped up

IR - Ingersoll-Rand

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-19-07 Long 55.07 Reached (55.85) Below 55.07 up to + $1.56 per share (56.63)


* 06-19-07 - stock gapped down

JNS - Janus Capital Group

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-19-07 06-20-07 Long 29.01 Reached (29.31) Closed Below 29.01 up to + 52 cents per share (29.53)



ONXX - Onyx Pharmaceuticals

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-19-07 Short 28.83 27.85 Above 28.65 up to + 73 cents per share (28.10)


* 06-19-07 - stock gapped up

MA - MasterCard

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-18-07 Long 161.84 Reached (165.31) Below 162.78 up to + $7.56 per share (169.40)



WRNC - Warnaco Group

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-18-07 Long 37.09 37.58 Below 36.85 up to + 24 cents per share (37.33)



OMTR - Omniture Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
06-14-07 Long 19.58 Reached (19.85) Below 20.49 up to + $2.36 per share (21.94)






* Key
==============================
HOT = High of Trade.
LOT = Low of Trade.
HOD = High of day.
LOD = Low of day.
EOD = End of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.


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