Day Trading Newsletter 07-21-05
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Newsletter Archive - July 2005 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - July 21, 2005
Stock Market Wrap Up

Indices
Dow + 42.59 at 10,689.15  I   Nasdaq + 15.39 at 2,188.57  I  S&P 500 + 5.85 at 1,235.20 

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

The market showed its toughness in the face of large-cap quarterly disappointments, as a sell-off in oil prices and a turnaround in the Treasury market helped investors refocus on the quarter's broader earnings picture and close virtually every sector to the upside... Stocks opened lower after mediocre Q2 reports from Intel (INTC 27.05 -1.66) and Yahoo (YHOO 33.57 -4.16) failed to impress investors last night, weakening overall sentiment following Tuesday's earnings-induced rally... General Motors (GM 36.32 -0.51), which posted a huge loss of $0.59 a share versus an expected profit of $0.03, also weighed on early trading, as the absence of schedule economic reports placed even more emphasis on earnings and guidance... To that end, comments from Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan provided an additional sense of uncertainty... While Greenspan said the economy is on firm footing and inflation remains contained, he also said that the Fed must continue to raise interest rates, so long as high energy costs put pressure on consumer prices... However, upon further analysis of his testimony amid a sell-off in oil prices, a recovery in the bond market and the foregone conclusion that more rate hikes are expected, investors embraced the possibility that Q2 aggregate EPS growth for the S&P 500 should still check in above a previously expected 7%, especially after 16 out of 23 S&P 500 constituents reporting results this morning beat analysts' forecasts... Pacing the way to the upside was the Materials sector, getting a boost from a analyst upgrades on Georgia-Pacific (GP 34.71 +1.05) and Vulcan Materials (VMC 69.59 +2.82), upbeat commentary Deutsche Securities on NUE (+4.8%), ATI (+4.0%) and PD (+2.7%) and a reversal in the dollar... The greenback had traded near its best levels since May 2004 against the yen (113.35) after Greenspan gave no indication the Fed will pause its rate hiking campaign... Health Care also surged, following strong Q2 reports from Pfizer (PFE 27.40 +0.02) - which also raised FY05 EPS guidance - and Amgen (AMGN 78.48 +7.96), which topped $100 bln in market cap for the first time ever... Another influential leader to the upside was the Industrials sector, which benefited from a strong Q2 report and upside FY05 guidance from Honeywell (HON 37.93 +0.33), better than expected earnings from General Dynamics (GD 113.60 +3.03) and a 3.6% surge in Transportation... Trucking stocks got boost after CNF Inc. (CNF ) nearly doubled Q2 profits and issued upside Q3 guidance, while Railroads (i.e. BNI, NSC, CSX, UNP) advanced after Canadian National Railway (CNI 62.82 +2.62) raised its FY05 EPS outlook and approved a 16 mln share buyback program...The interest-rate sensitive Financial and Utilities sectors also closed to the upside, benefiting from the late-day reversal in bonds... The benchmark 10-year note closed up 5 ticks to yield 4.16% as traders breathed a sigh of relief after Greenspan said nothing new to rattle the market... Despite oil prices ($56.72/bbl -$0.74) falling 1.3% after the EIA indicated diminishing pressure on oil inventories, Energy posted a modest gain... The EIA reported a smaller than expected draw in crude oil supplies of 900K barrels (consensus -3.5 mln), a larger build in distillates 2.2 mln (consensus +1.7 mln) and a 1.3 mln barrel decline in gasoline inventories (consensus -1.5 mln)... Even though the Nasdaq inched into positive territory for the year and closed at a 4-year high, Technology failed to close to the upside following the weakness in INTC and YHOO... Despite the drubbing in Intel, chip stocks got a boost after Teradyne (TER 16.46 +2.75) posted a narrower than expected loss on strong revenues and boosted Q3 outlook...NYSE Adv/Dec 2297/996...NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1989/1053.


Trade system guidelines (edited):
Only available to Newsletter Subscribers.

Today's Picks - July 21, 2005


1.   MOGN - MGI PHARMA

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 27.70

2.   SHLD - SEARS HLDGS

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 163.50

3.   GENZ - GENZYME

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 72.10

4.   LEN - LENNAR

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 68.15

5.   UNM - UNUMPROVIDENT

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 19.63

6.   BAX - BAXTER

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 38.59

7.   LLTC - LINEAR TECHNOLOGY

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 41.67

8.   DTV - DIRECTV

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Short Below 15 min low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 15.48

9.   PFE - PFIZER

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
07-21 Short Below 15 min low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 27.00

==============================
EOD = End of day.
LOD = Low of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.

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