Stock Trading Newsletter 09-20-07
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Newsletter Archive - September 2007 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - September 20 2007
Stock Market Wrap Up


Dow + 76.17    I  Nasdaq + 14.82    I  S&P 500 + 9.25    

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

The rate-cut rally on Tuesday persisted on Wednesday, as the major indices pressed onward in the wake of a pleasing inflation report and continued enthusiasm about the Fed's actions.

Although the gains on Wednesday weren't nearly as large as the ones registered in the prior session, they were still significant in that there wasn't any concerted selling interest throughout the day. Moreover, it was evident that participants were feeling less risk averse as small-cap stocks outperformed and the Treasury market remained on the defensive.

In turn, the financial sector (+0.6%) looked past a disappointing earnings report from Morgan Stanley (MS 67.43, -1.48) and added to Tuesday's 4.5% advance; although the investment banking group (+0.2%) showed some relative weakness.

The financial sector performed in line with the market, but tellingly, all ten economic sectors ended the day higher. The telecom services sector (+1.4%) led the way and was followed by utilities (+1.4%) and basic materials (+1.4%).

The energy sector (+0.8%) also provided some sponsorship for Wednesday's move as rising oil prices once again sparked buying interest in related stocks. Crude futures hit their highs for the day ($82.51) right about the time the Dept. of Energy reported a 3.87 million barrel drawdown in stockpiles versus expectations for a decline of 2.025 million barrels.

Crude futures for October delivery finished off their highs (+$0.28 at $81.79) as the bullish inventory report had been largely priced in already. However, the improved growth outlook that followed the Fed's rate cut kept a bid in the market. Crude futures have risen approximately 15% in the past month.

While rising oil prices have stoked inflation concerns, the CPI report for August didn't cause any shockwaves. Total CPI actually declined 0.1% while core-CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2%. The latter was in line with expectations and left the year-over-year increase at a palatable 2.1%.

Thursday's economic calendar features the weekly initial claims, Leading Indicators, and Philadelphia Fed Index reports. FedEx (FDX 107.51, -1.48), Bear Stearns (BSC 115.64, -3.56), Goldman Sachs (GS 205.50, +5.00), Circuit City (CC 10.57, +0.15), Carnival Corp. (CCL 47.30, +0.60), Nike (NKE 58.56, -0.23) and Oracle (ORCL 20.84, +0.11) are the luminaries on the earnings calendar.

The market will also be keeping a close eye on the testimony on the mortgage market from Fed Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Paulson before the House Financial Services Committee that will begin at 10:00 ET.


Trade system guidelines (edited):
Only available to Newsletter Subscribers.

Today's Picks - September 20 2007


1.   STKL - SunOpta Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-20-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 14.81

2.   ADSK - AutoDesk Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-20-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 50.04

3.   CNQ - Canadian Natural Resources

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-20-07 Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 73.71

Previous Trades


DE - Deere & Co

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-19-07 09-19-07 Long 148.89 150.39 Closed Below 147.11 up to - $1.99 per share (149.12 HOT)



CCE - Coca-Cola Enterprises

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

PEG - Public Service Enterprise Group

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-19-07 09-19-07 Long 90.02 Reached (90.65) Closed Below 90.02 up to + 89 cents per share (90.91)



SLB - Schlumberger

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-19-07 Long 106.61 108.20 Below 104.74 up to + $1.20 per share (107.81)



SYNA - Synaptics Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-18-07 Long 47.02 Reached (47.80) Below 47.35 up to + $1.93 per share (48.95)



AMT - American Tower Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-18-07 Long 41.10 Reached (42.06) Below 41.10 up to + 98 cents per share (42.08)



SIGM - Sigma Designs Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-18-07 Long 47.70 Reached (48.26) Below 48.15 up to + $3.97 per share (51.67)



K - Kellogg Co

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-17-07 09-19-07 Long 56.28 Reached (56.69) Closed Below 56.28 up to + 42 cents per share (56.70)


* 09-13-07 - stock gapped down

HCBK - Hudson City Bancorp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-14-07 Long 14.65 Reached (14.69) Below 15.32 up to + $1.01 per share (15.66)






* Key
==============================
HOT = High of Trade.
LOT = Low of Trade.
HOD = High of day.
LOD = Low of day.
EOD = End of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.


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