Stock Trading Newsletter 09-26-07
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Newsletter Archive - September 2007 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - September 26 2007
Stock Market Wrap Up


Dow + 19.59    I  Nasdaq + 15.50    I  S&P 500 - 0.52    

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

Concerns about a consumer spending slowdown permeated the market on Tuesday following disappointing earnings/sales updates from several companies with a high profile in the consumer discretionary sector (-1.2%). Still, the broader market ended the day relatively flat.

The companies of note included home improvement retailer Lowe's (LOW 28.51, -2.04), which tempered its full-year EPS outlook, value-based retailer Target (TGT 61.35, -2.95), which cut its September same-store sales growth forecast to 1.5% to 2.5% from 4.0% to 6.0% citing weak traffic, and homebuilder Lennar (LEN 23.22, -0.96), which reported a third quarter loss of $3.25 per share versus the consensus estimate for a loss of $0.55 per share.

Lennar added that it will be cutting more staff in the fourth quarter and that recent rate cuts from the Fed won't be a panacea for housing conditions as they now exist. On a related note, the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales in August fell 4.3% to an annualized rate of 5.50 million units. That was in line with the consensus estimate and a further reminder of the ongoing weakness in the housing market.

The confluence of these developments, combined with the lingering weakness in General Motors (GM 34.42, -0.32) following the UAW strike and a report of a dip in the September consumer confidence index to 99.8 from 105.6 in August, kept the discretionary sector underwater all day. One bright note is that the sector finished off its lows, but that finish belies what was an otherwise weak outing.

Another drag on the broader market was the energy sector (-0.9%). It got clipped along with oil prices, which dropped 1.8% to $79.50 per barrel. The decline was attributed to profit-taking from an overbought condition and a lessening of near-term supply concerns after a weekend storm passed through the Gulf of Mexico without incident.

Strength in the technology sector (+1.0%) acted as an effective offset that limited the broader market's losses. Once again, participants were favoring large-cap issues like Apple (AAPL 153.18, +4.90), Research In Motion (RIMM 96.82, +2.32), Microsoft (MSFT 29.56, +0.48) and Cisco (CSCO 32.44, +0.56) given their favorable growth outlook.

The Nasdaq 100 ended the session up 1.0%.

Outside of the technology and consumer discretionary sectors, there weren't any other 1.0% movers. The financial sector (-0.3%), though, was a notable laggard as concerns about the economic environment and broad-based weakness in the REIT stocks weighed on its performance.


Trade system guidelines (edited):
Only available to Newsletter Subscribers.

Today's Picks - September 26 2007


1.   STX - Seagate Technology

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-26-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 26.63

2.   ADI - Analog Devices Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-26-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 37.18

3.   CEN - Ceridian Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-26-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 33.89

Previous Trades


NBL - Noble Energy Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

RIO - Companhia Vale do Rio Doce

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-25-07 Long 31.89 32.82 Below 30.82 up to + 15 cents per share (32.04)


* 09-25-07 - stock gapped down

GRMN - Garmin Ltd

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-25-07 Long 115.24 Reached (116.06) Below 115.24 up to + $4.76 per share (120.00)


* 09-25-07 - stock gapped down

EXM - Excel Maritime Carriers Ltd

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-24-07 Long 53.67 Reached (55.41) Below 53.61 up to + $5.43 per share (59.10)


09-24-07 - our stop of 53.60 (7 cents below 53.67 our entrance price) kept us in the trade and into profits of up to + $5.43 per share despite the fact that the stock traded 1 cent above our stop during the first 15 minutes of trading!

CELG - Celgene Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-24-07 09-25-07 Long 70.78 Reached (71.37) Closed Below 70.78 up to + 1.45 per share (72.23)


* 09-24-07 - stock gapped down

FRO - Frontline Ltd

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-21-07 Long 48.71 Reached (48.99) Below 48.65 up to + $1.97 per share (50.68)


* 09-25-07 - the stock gapped down past our stop at the open forcing us to set an emergency stop just below 48.65 (15min low). The emergency stop held keeping us in the trade.

AMT - American Tower Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-18-07 Long 41.10 Reached (42.06) Below 41.68 up to + $2.10 per share (43.20)


* 09-25-07 - the stock gapped down past our stop at the open forcing us to set an emergency stop just below 41.68 (15min low). The emergency stop held keeping us in the trade.

SIGM - Sigma Designs Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-18-07 Long 47.70 Reached (48.26) Below 49.86 up to + $4.85 per share (52.55)






* Key
==============================
HOT = High of Trade.
LOT = Low of Trade.
HOD = High of day.
LOD = Low of day.
EOD = End of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.


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