Stock Trading Newsletter 09-27-07
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Newsletter Archive - September 2007 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - September 27 2007
Stock Market Wrap Up


Dow + 99.50    I  Nasdaq + 15.58    I  S&P 500 + 8.21    

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

The major indices traded in positive territory throughout the day in response to news that General Motors (GM 37.64, +3.22) and the United Auto Workers union (UAW) reached a tentative labor agreement. While buying efforts tapered off in the early afternoon, the indices saw a late day push when The New York Times reported that Bear Stearns (BSC 123.00, +8.76) is in serious discussions with outside investors to sell up to a 20% stake in the firm.

The GM and UAW agreement includes the creation of VEBA, an independent trust that will take over $50 billion in retiree health insurance obligations. The deal reportedly also includes an important provision on second tier wages for some incoming employees.

GM stated that the deal "paves the way for GM to significantly improve its manufacturing competitiveness." The agreement must still be ratified by UAW members, but the two-day nationwide strike at GM plants has ended.

With respect to the Bear Stearns speculation, The New York Times named Warren Buffett, Bank of America (BAC 50.41, +0.19), Wachovia (WB 50.64, +0.20), Chinese Construction Bank and Citic Group as parties potentially interested in acquiring the minority stake.

The news caused Bear Stearns shares, and the financial sector to jump noticeably, and carried the the Dow and S&P to their best levels of the day with a half hour to go in the session.

A separate report soon thereafter that SLM Corp. (SLM 45.01, -1.24) has been notified by its suitors that they don't expect to consummate their acquisition took a little wind out of the late-day rally. Still, the indices finished comfortably above the unchanged mark.

Earlier in the session the stock market was unfazed by the report that durable goods new orders dropped 4.9% in August versus the consensus estimate for a drop of 3.5%. July posted a strong 6.1% gain, so an offset was expected.

Meanwhile, the Dept. of Energy reported that crude inventories rose 1.84 million barrels in the latest week. The consensus estimate, according to a Bloomberg survey, predicted a draw of 2.15 million barrels.

Following the bearish announcement, oil prices surrendered a 1.4% gain and traded as low as $78.44. They soon rebounded, though, to end the day up 1.2% at $80.49. The turnaround was attributed to concern that inventory levels are still below year-ago levels despite the latest weekly reading.

All 10 economic sectors ended the day in positive territory, with consumer discretionary (+1.0%), consumer staples (+0.9%) and materials (+0.9%) scoring the largest gains. Energy (+0.2%), which was down for a good part of the day, posted a modest gain but trailed the broader market.

Several economic reports will be released Thursday morning, including the final Q2 GDP report, initial jobless claims, the help-wanted index and new home sales.


Trade system guidelines (edited):
Only available to Newsletter Subscribers.

Today's Picks - September 27 2007


1.   PX - Praxair Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-27-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 83.26

2.   CSCO - Cisco Systems Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-27-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 33.00

3.   NVDA - NVIDIA Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-27-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 36.75

4.   MSCC - Microsemi Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-27-07 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 27.88

Previous Trades


STX - Seagate Technology

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

ADI - Analog Devices Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

CEN - Ceridian Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-26-07 Long 34.23 34.35 Below 33.97 up to + 10 cents per share (34.33)



RIO - Companhia Vale do Rio Doce

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-25-07 Long 31.89 Reached (32.82) Below 32.15 up to + $ 1.19 per share (33.08)


* 09-25-07 - stock gapped down

GRMN - Garmin Ltd

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-25-07 Long 115.24 Reached (116.06) Below 115.25 up to + $5.29 per share (120.53)


* 09-25-07 - stock gapped down

EXM - Excel Maritime Carriers Ltd

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-24-07 09-26-07 Long 53.67 Reached (55.41) Closed Below 53.60 up to + $6.23 per share (59.90)


09-24-07 - our stop of 53.60 (7 cents below 53.67 our entrance price) kept us in the trade and into profits of up to + $5.43 per share despite the fact that the stock traded 1 cent above our stop during the first 15 minutes of trading!

FRO - Frontline Ltd

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-21-07 Long 48.71 Reached (48.99) Below 48.76 up to + $1.97 per share (50.68)


* 09-25-07 - the stock gapped down past our stop at the open forcing us to set an emergency stop just below 48.65 (15min low). The emergency stop held keeping us in the trade.

AMT - American Tower Corp

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-18-07 Long 41.10 Reached (42.06) Below 42.31 up to + $2.10 per share (43.20)


* 09-25-07 - the stock gapped down past our stop at the open forcing us to set an emergency stop just below 41.68 (15min low). The emergency stop held keeping us in the trade.

SIGM - Sigma Designs Inc

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
09-18-07 09-26-07 Long 47.70 Reached (48.26) Closed Below 49.86 up to + $4.85 per share (52.55)






* Key
==============================
HOT = High of Trade.
LOT = Low of Trade.
HOD = High of day.
LOD = Low of day.
EOD = End of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.


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