Stock Trading Newsletter 10-30-06
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Newsletter Archive - October 2006 Archive
Day Trading It Newsletter - October 30, 2006
Stock Market Wrap Up


Dow - 73.40    I  Nasdaq - 28.48    I  S&P 500 - 11.74    

Market Wrap
(Briefing):

After several failed attempts to lock in some of the market's impressive gains of late, sellers finally finished what they started, closing stocks lower across the board.

With the Dow just a day removed from hitting its 13th record high in 18 days, a sense that stocks were overbought on a short-term basis left the market looking tired and vulnerable in pre-market action. Also acting as a constraint before the opening bell even sounded was a weaker than expected GDP report.

At 8:30 ET, the Commerce Dept. reported that Q3 GDP rose only 1.6% (consensus 2.1%) in Q3, the slowest pace in three years, due primarily to a huge 17% drop in residential construction activity which shaved 1.1% off the GDP gain. That wasn't all that surprising, though, since Fed Chairman Bernanke said on October 4th that the U.S. housing market is in a "substantial correction,'' which will lop about one percentage point off economic growth in the second half of the year.

The GDP report also showed that consumer spending picked up and that inflation, as reflected in a lower than expected 1.8% rise on the chain deflator, remains contained, indicative of a soft landing. Be that as it may, the weak GDP headline left investors questioning the sustainability of the recent advance, which opened the door for anything negative to push stocks even lower.

Then, as it appeared the bulls might simply surrender a modest pullback to some characteristic consolidation following such a huge run-up, sellers wrapped their arms around a negative research note and ran wit hit. Between 1:00 and 2:00 ET, it was reported that Goldman Sachs is cutting its growth forecast for motherboard shipments. After the broker reportedly said motherboard demand is "falling off a cliff," tech stocks did just that, selling off and removing notable sector leadership that took a toll on overall sentiment.

Better than expected reports from blue chips like Microsoft (MSFT 28.34 -0.01) and Chevron (CVX 67.64 +0.14) were all but forgotten.


Trade system guidelines only available to newsletter subscribers

Today's Picks - October 30, 2006


1.   PHI - PHILIPPINE LONG DISTANCE TEL

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
10-30-06 Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps down at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades above 47.20

2.   FD - FEDERATED DEPT STORES

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
10-30-06 Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 43.65

3.   ISRG - INTUITIVE SURGICAL

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
10-30-06 Short Below 15 low Cover 1/2 once risk covered Above HOD at time of setup


* Please Note: If the stock gaps up at the open do not enter the trade unless it trades below 99.34

Previous Trades


SYNA - SYNAPTICS INC

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

ARRS - ARRIS GROUP

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
Long Above 15 high Sell 1/2 once risk covered Below LOD at time of setup


* did not setup

AEM - AGNICO EAGLE MINES

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
10-26-06 Long 35.60 Reached (36.38) Below 35.60 up to + 85 cents per share (36.45)



CNI - CANADIAN NATL

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
10-19-06 10-27-06 Long 45.21 Reached (45.70) Closed below 47.43 up to + $2.70 per share (47.91)



ICE - INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE

Entry Date Exit Date Position Entry Price Target Price Stop Price Max P/L
10-17-06 Long 82.66 Reached (84.00) Below 84.10/font> up to + $3.97 per share (86.63)





==============================
EOD = End of day.
LOD = Low of day.
PDC = Previous Day's Close.
S/R = Support/Resistance.
==============================

DISCLAIMER: Trading in securities may not be suitable for all individuals.
Consult your broker or other professional to determine your suitability.
The discussions provided by Day Trading It are for educational purposes
only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell the
referenced security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Please keep in mind that these picks are chosen up to 12 hours before the markets open. During this time conditions, which will effect entry and exit on the above listed ideas, may change.

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